Germany’s political landscape is in turmoil as the country's major political parties have agreed to hold an early general election on February 23, according to a source within Chancellor Olaf Scholz's Social Democrats (SPD) party. This decision comes during a period of deep political instability, exacerbated by the collapse of Scholz’s three-way coalition government. The withdrawal of the smallest coalition partner, the liberal Free Democrats (FDP), led to the government’s downfall.
This political crisis occurs at a challenging time for Germany, Europe’s largest economy, which is facing a likely second consecutive year of economic contraction. Additionally, global tensions are high with ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East.
The scheduled election date coincides with the inauguration of US President Donald Trump on January 20, 2025, and means that Germany’s political campaign will unfold during the cold, dark winter, a time when voters are typically less engaged in outdoor events compared to the warmer summer months. Chancellor Scholz, who is seeking re-election, had initially proposed a March election but was pressured to speed up the process by both the opposition CDU and his own coalition partners, the Greens. Recent polls show that the majority of voters are also in favor of holding the election sooner rather than later.
The election date will be finalized after Scholz calls for a confidence vote in the Bundestag in December. If, as expected, he loses this vote, President Frank-Walter Steinmeier will have 21 days to dissolve parliament, and elections must then be held within the following 60 days.
Carsten Linnemann, general secretary of the CDU, expressed concerns about the uncertainty surrounding the country’s direction. However, he suggested that once the election timetable is confirmed, the situation would stabilize, allowing the country to move into the campaign phase.
Since the FDP's withdrawal, Scholz's SPD and the Greens have been operating a minority government, relying on opposition support to pass legislation. The three-party coalition, which was formed in 2021, faced mounting disagreements, especially over economic policies. The tensions reached a breaking point last week when Scholz dismissed FDP Finance Minister Christian Lindner, prompting the party's departure from the government.
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