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Liverpool have real reason to believe they can beat Man City and Arsenal to title

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It's not just the table that fans can point towards to make a case for the side's title bid this season. ensured the Reds would remain top for the international break, with Diogo Jota's early goal ensuring Arne Slot's great start as manager continued.

The Dutchman has won six of his first seven top-flight games in charge, the only blip a 1-0 home defeat to Nottingham Forest last month.

As a result, his team sit top on 18 points, one clear of both champions and .

But the Merseyside club are also top of another important list. According to , Liverpool are the only Premier League team to be on the right side of xG difference in every match they've played in 2024/25.

xG, an abbreviation of expected goals, measures the quality of a chance by calculating the likelihood it will be scored from a certain position on the pitch during a phase of attacking play. The value provided is based on a number of factors ahead of the shot being taken.

City have only come out on top in four of their seven contests, the same number as Arsenal. Indeed, surprisingly it's who are closest to Liverpool, having produced a favourable xG over six of their opponents so far including against City.

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It's who the stats currently reflect most badly on. Despite getting their first Premier League win of the campaign over on Saturday, under , they've come out on the wrong side in all of their games.

While both Slot, and Liverpool fans, will know it's still too early to start predicting a title win, the xG table does make for encouraging reading. Especially given the ex-Feyenoord boss is toppling and who both have far more Premier League experience.

However, Liverpool are set to be severely tested after the international break. They host in their next Premier League clash on October 20, which will be followed by a trip to Arsenal.

Games against in-form , , Southampton and then Man City come in November, not to mention matches with Bayer Leverkusen and Real Madrid. And Slot will almost certainly have to cope without keeper for that entire period, .

Slot may also be aware that the Reds also finished the 2023/24 season top of the xG table. However, that wasn't reflected in their overall position, ending up nine points off the top despite leading the table with only eight games to go.

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